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Wednesday, October 30, 2013

Marshal and the Neoclassical Synthesis

Marshal And The Neoclassical Synthesis
By Benjamin Bowman

Marshal had a very interesting childhood. Although, I would guess Marshal would describe it as torture. As a young child, his father often drilled him on his schoolwork until midnight. Though it may have seemed as torture at the time, I’m sure it made college seem like a breeze. He turned down a scholarship to Oxford, and being too poor to pay for college, his uncle funded his schooling at Cambridge. In his younger years, his father forbid his two passions, math and chess. I can’t imagine those things being forbidden by any parent I know, but it was a different time then, and it sounded like his father wanted him to be a minister. At Cambridge he was able to pursue these passions. By tutoring math, he was able to repay his uncle for the cost of school.
Like many of his predecessors, Marshal did not train to be an economist. In fact it seemed that he had other pursuits and stumbled upon political economy while trying to justify the inequalities of his day. After walking through some of the poorest neighborhoods he could find, he seemed to confirm his desire for political economy and began a fervent study of the subject that lasted his whole life. Like many great students, he was always striving to learn more. Fifty years of writing produced eighty-two publications, the number of which an accomplishment in itself.
However, his publications are not the majority of his contributions. Like any good instructor, his largest influence was that which he had on his pupils and protégés. By the end of his life a large portion of economist in Europe were trained by him and or followed his teachings. I think all teachers would like to think they have a positive influence on their students. I would agree that good teachers do.
Although Marshall loved math, and frequently used math in economics, he did so simply out of convince for himself. He felt that relying on math too much in economics would “lead us astray in pursuit of intellectual toys, imaginary problems not conforming to the conditions of real life,” and may cause, “us to neglect factors that could not easily be worked up in the mathematical machine.” This is somewhat surprising to me. His timing and skill set was perfect to apply mathematical strategies to describe economic principles. Math was his passion, and I would think it would only be natural for him to try to apply math to economics. I wonder what he would think of our economics today? Would he think there is too much math involved in our current anlaysis?
One of Marshall’s greatest contributions to the science of economics is his recognition of the importance of time and how it affected economic analysis.  As Angel Versetti suggested in my second reading, “History of Neoclassical Economics – Analysis of Failures of Neoclassical Thought,” the lack of consideration for time and its affect on economic aliases was one of the failures of most Neoclassical thought. That would lead me to believe that Marshall’s consideration of time was even more significant to neoclassical thought.
Marshall said the answer to time was constantly stating conditions like “all other things constant, “etc. However, Angel Versetti mentions that the numerous assumptions required by neoclassical thought limits the usefulness of the analysis. Despite this obvious observation, I think Marshall’s attempt to account for time in his analyses is significant.
He was the first to consider both the short-run and the long-run and apply them to analysis of the firm and industry. He applied this kind of analysis toward subjects such as increasing and decreasing costs and internal and external economies. He also understood the limits to this method. An example of this is Long-period supply, in which it is difficult to explain certain aspects of the long-run supply curve. He even applied time to his analysis of elasticity, which is important because how quickly change happens is directly related to elasticity.
I find his observation about class and elasticity interesting.  In his analysis, he mentions that meat is more expensive in rich neighborhoods because the rich will not by the poor cuts and those cuts have to be sent to somewhere people will buy them (poorer neighborhoods). Though maybe not intentional it’s an interesting explanation for Veblen goods.
Another significant contribution of Marshall was his work on the demand curve. He recognized numerous assumptions required to draw a demand schedule. He applied his ideas of time to his analysis. He also recognized the effect of income changes on demand.
Marshall also used utility theory to analyze several different methods of government intervention as an attempt to provide the public with greater utility. Angel Versetti pointed out that this use of utility assumes that people will act rationally maximizing their utility, when in reality people do not always act rationally. However, Marshall used utility to discuss subjects such as taxes and subsidies on increasing and decreasing cost industries. He also analyzed economic welfare and monopoly.  Although the utility theory that he used for his analysis was flawed, he was still able to make some interesting and insightful conclusions.
Yet another contribution is his analysis of factor demand. It seems that his analysis of elasticity and the advances he made in its determinates, help him have a unique insight into factor demand. Where most authors assumed long-term equilibrium in their analysis, Marshall instead assumed that there would be some cases in which some change caused disequilibrium for time enough to affect the supply chain to be affected. With this basis he was able to offer unique analysis.
As we can see, Marshall wrote on pretty much every subject of political economies. He studied and wrote on the subject for years and years. Nevertheless, most of his contributions were not based on original thoughts; instead he mostly gave new insight to already existing ideas. He was able to organize, develop and refine all the theories of the neoclassical era. He basically made a really good compilation of Neoclassical theories.
I find it very interesting that the author attributes his fame and reputation to simple luck. He wrote a book and because it was not directed toward the scientist, but toward the intelligent layperson, the book was successful and happen to catch the “academic spirit” at the time.  Not that the author discounts or disregards his contributions to economics, but the author seams to think that he was not too outstanding at original economic thought. He also mentions that he owe a portion of his reputation to the fact that many of his students choose to expound upon his ideas therefore perpetuating his reputation.
As Angel Versetti points out, there are many limits to Neoclassical thought. However, there is still a use for these kinds of theories. I think that Marshall did what he could with the world he lived in. I also believed that he achieved much and contributed greatly to economic thought.


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