So I did some research. The best source I found was Wiki (Risks To Civilization) of course. It is a very good article that goes over several different possibilities and the likelihood of them occurring. I did my best, but of course wiki is better. The answer I found is that there is less than a 20% chance over the next 100 years that a large scale catastrophe will hit the earth.
But does that even matter? Personal catastrophes happen every day! Cancer, car accident, job loss, fire and weather; you name it and it happens to individuals every day. To prep for an asteroid or nuclear war and not prep for a fire in your home or even a job loss is ludicrous! Many of these preps go hand in hand, but it is important that we keep perspective.
Notes and Sources:
Super Volcano Every 50000
Yellowstone
Toba Catastrophe Theory
Giant Asteroid Every 1 million years.
Other Source
Massive Solar Flare 12% over the next 10 years.
Economic Collapse
Pandemic
Nuclear Fallout/Global War
Global Warming / Climate Change
World Crop Failure
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